Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Taiyuan in Shanxi hikes natural gas price for the first time in 5 years

On 8/24/2012, Taiyuan in Shanxi hiked residential natural gas price for the first time in 5 years. The increase of 7.6% was very large compared to similar adjustments in gasoline and diesel prices. Read the full news here: http://news.szenergy.biz/news_10546.html

This last development has the following positive implications on Longwei Petroleum (LPH):
  1. This indicates that demand for fuel energies is strong in Shanxi province, particularly in Taiyuan metropolitan. It also indicates that growth in supply is probably limited and cannot satisfy growth in demand.
  2. It means that economy in Taiyuan area is doing very well and consumers are not slowing down in consuming more energy. Note that Shanxi’s yearly GDP growth rate has been higher than national average by significant extent for the past 15 years.
  3. Because natural gas is a competition to gasoline and diesel (i.e. gasoline/diesel and natural gas are alternative goods for many people), under economic principal higher natural gas price will decrease sales volume of natural gas and increase sales volume of gasoline and diesel in the area.

In conclusion, with this last development, the outlook for Longwei’s revenue growth is brightened further in my opinion.
 
Disclaimer

I am a completely independent analyst and am not paid by any company of which the stock I cover or write articles about. However, I may have long or short position on a stock I cover or write about at any time.
My ratings and/or analyses of a stock only represent my personal view on the stock and/or my assessment on the probable movement of the stock price in the next 12 months. They are by no means a guarantee of performance on any long or short trades on a stock and should not be relied upon solely for buying or selling a stock. Every investment, no matter how compellingly appealing it seems, involves risk. Investors should do their own due diligence and consider personal risk tolerance, preferences and needs when making an investment or a trading decision. All materials are subject to change without notice. Information is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.

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